SKU: 41907962064

Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic Warning

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Anticipating Surprise: Analysis for Strategic WarningAssigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U. S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea,

Assigned to the National Indications Center, Cynthia Grabo served as a senior researcher and writer for the U.S. Watch Committee throughout its existence (1950 to 1975), and in its successor, the Strategic Warning Staff. During this time she saw the need to capture the institutional memory associated with strategic warning. With three decades of experience in the Intelligence Community, she saw intelligence and warning failures in Korea, Czechoslovakia, Hungary, and Cuba. In the summer of 1972, the DIA published her "Handbook of Warning Intelligence" as a classified document, followed by two additional classified volumes, one in the fall of 1972 and the last in 1974. These declassified books have now been condensed from the original three volumes into this one. Ms. GraboÕs authoritative interpretation of an appropriate analytic strategy for intelligence-based warning is here presented in a commercial reprint of this classic study. (Originally published by the Joint Military Intelligence College)

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SKU: 41907962064

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4.3 ★★★★★
Based on 15 reviews
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Serendipitygirl
Bozeman, US
★★★★★ 4
Interesting connections made.
Format: Paperback
I bought this because or had been referred to in several other excellent books I've read. Very scholarly and good case made but a bit dry and overdone/redundant at times when making a point. And if you've studied a lot, nothing really new revealed- but if just starting down this road, some great comparisons made.
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Reviewed in the United States on August 19, 2025
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David Warner Mathisen
Whiting, US
★★★★★ 5
Seminal
Format: Paperback
As many have noted, Hamlet's Mill is not an "easy" read, but it is an absolutely worthwhile experience not only to read but to re-read this seminal thesis on the transmission of ancient astronomical knowledge through mythology and legend. Perhaps the fact that a reader must wrestle with this text is part of the reason that it has generated so many fruitful inquiries and theories by later authors. The entire book is rich with ideas, many of which the authors drop and then pick up again and again later in the text, some of which are simply left for later analysts to pursue further on their own. Slice into it at any point and you will find a rich vein of material that can suggest new avenues for you to explore in the ancient history and literatures of the world. Sometimes an easy read or a text that hands you all of its answers and does the work for you is not "what the doctor ordered." Hamlet's Mill definitely makes more sense the second and even third time through. That in and of itself makes this book worth your while -- it's a gift that keeps on giving, a book you can keep on reading, even after you reach the end!
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Reviewed in the United States on April 21, 2011
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CarPerz
Chelsea, US
★★★★★ 5
Love learning new things!
Format: Paperback
Love the book but unless you have a foreknowledge of myths from around the world and the experts that have written about them, you will need your phone next to you to look up everything that is being talked about. Like, on every page. Not an easy read.
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Reviewed in the United States on January 14, 2022
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Y. Teperman
Charlottesville, US
★★★★★ 5
Properly intellectual, and both demanding and rewarding as such
Format: Paperback
Anyone who plans to read this book is likely to know its premise already, so, I will not spend time or effort to recap it. All I can say is that the way the book is more eloquent, is altogether smarter, and more beautifully written than I expected. This is a true intellectual treat written with proper intellectual verve. So, no conspiracy theorists, or the simpleton believers in ancient aliens need not apply. If, however, you achieved a proper academic attainment - got your Masters or PhD and enjoy intellectual stimulation, this is a rare gem, to be digested slowly and deliberately, as no similar book is to be encountered any time soon. In other words, just a great book, presenting fascinating thoughts. It does not need anyone’s endorsement, as it is already a well-known entity within its field, yet, here it is – very heartily recommend!
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Reviewed in the United States on June 5, 2017
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Amazon Customer
Pawtucket, US
★★★★★ 5
Get it before it goes back out of print!
Format: Paperback
This book sat on my wish list for years while the price hovered just a bit too high for my liking. My patience has been rewarded with a back in print price that makes getting it a no-brainer. That said, I can't say I believe the main theory of this book, but it is a good start and an enjoyable read regardless. It seems to me that authors feel a need to propound an overarching and impossible-to-prove theory, in order to write some comparative mythology. I was brought to this book a long time ago after reading Charles Hapgood's Map of ancient Sea Kings. Another good author in the same vein is Gavin White, who wrote Babalonian Star Lore and several others.
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Reviewed in the United States on February 16, 2018

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